60年一个天干地支的轮回啊，是一个大时代的起落。

 

以我的生活阅历，实在不能就60年前的胜利评论些什么。只是颇有些悲哀的觉得，在60年后，世界仍然这么不太平。难道人类总是有毁灭自己的倾向吗？

 

以前看过一个冷笑话

 

第三次世界大战的武器是什么？没人知道…

 

第四次世界大战的武器是什么？棍棒和石头吧…

 

文明的顶端是什么？战争的终极答案是什么呢？极左和极右的人们，闭嘴好吗！

当我正在研究星盘的时候，偶然看到了这个Breaking News，以下摘自Caltech首页新闻，如有侵权请来信告知，将立即删除。

 

PASADENA, Calif.--A planet larger than Pluto has been discovered in the outlying regions of the solar system with the Samuel Oschin Telescope at Palomar Observatory, California Institute of Technology planetary scientist Mike Brown announced today.

The planet is a typical member of the Kuiper belt, but its sheer size in relation to the nine planets already known means that it can only be classified as a planet, Brown says. Currently about 97 astronomical units from the sun (an astronomical unit is the distance between the sun and Earth), the planet becomes the farthest-known object in the solar system, and the third brightest of the Kuiper belt objects.

"It will be visible over the next six months and is currently almost directly overhead in the early-morning eastern sky, in the constellation Cetus," says Brown, who made the discovery with colleagues Chad Trujillo, of the Gemini Observatory, and David Rabinowitz, of Yale University, on January 8.

Brown and Trujillo first photographed the new planet with the 48-inch Samuel Oschin Telescope on October 31, 2003. However, the object was so far away that its motion was not detected until they reanalyzed the data in January of this year. In the last seven months, the scientists have been studying the planet to better estimate its size and its motions.

"It's definitely bigger than Pluto," says Brown, who is professor of planetary astronomy. Scientists can infer the size of a solar-system object by its brightness, just as one can infer the size of a faraway light bulb if one knows its wattage. The reflectance of the planet is not yet known--in other words, it's not yet possible to tell how much light from the sun is reflected away--but the amount of light the planet reflects puts a lower limit on its size.

"Even if it reflected 100 percent of the light reaching it, it would still be as big as Pluto," says Brown. "I'd say it's probably one and a half times the size of Pluto, but we're not sure yet of the final size.

"But we are 100 percent confident that this is the first object bigger than Pluto ever found in the outer solar system."

Determination of the upper limit of the size of the planet is constrained by results from the Spitzer Space Telescope, which has already proved its mettle in studying the heat of dim, faint, faraway objects such as the Kuiper-belt bodies. Because the Spitzer is unable to detect the new planet, the overall diameter must be less than 3,000 kilometers, Brown says. A name for the new planet has been proposed by the discoverers to the International Astronomical Union, and they are awaiting the decision of this body before announcing the name.

The research is funded by NASA. For more information see http://www.gps.caltech.edu/~mbrown

 

从主页上可以看出，Mike Brown似乎是个充满了童趣的人…UC Berkeley1994年Astronomy的PhD，Princeton的Physics本科，标准的美国科学家啊，偶像一下，赞一个。

这次人民币升值更多的资料我还没看到，然而已经困了，就简单说说我的大市预测，尤其是对于想换钱的兄弟姐妹们提点意见。

 

这次最大的改变就是不再盯住美元，而是盯住一篮子货币，其次就是人民币对美元汇率从多年不变的8.26-8.27变成了8.11。

 

首先说盯住一篮子货币。这一篮子货币铁定有欧元和日元，虽然权重暂时我还不知道，可是加入了坚挺的欧元和日元，人民币的进一步升值是可以预见的。但是在短期由于恐怖主义的阴霾没散，欧元对美元还不会有什么明显变化，因此这条路上的人民币升值不是一个短期实现的进程。而且盯住一篮子货币让后世的预测难度更大了。

 

其次就是汇率变化。直接变化很小，可是预期影响是巨大的，在对后市预期的基础上，投资者的决策方向是显然的。但是我们也不能低估我党国对付这种危机的能力，因此这条路上指望一个近期的继续升值我觉得也不太可能。

 

综上，现在留学欧洲的xdjm上上之策还是手持囤积的美元换点欧元比较好，中策呢是用人民币换少量必须的欧元，下策才是拼命的拿人民币换欧元…

 

以上只是专家个人观点，仅供参考。汇市风险莫测，劝君谨慎入世。

纽约，伦敦，然后是哪里？

 

看到报纸上一个报道，在伦敦的英国学生和美国留学生表示非常震惊，也很愤怒。而中东的一些学生则不以为然的说这样的事情在他们的国度天天发生，没什么好大惊小怪的。

 

或许人的生命是等值的，但是把暴力和恐怖带进人类文明的中心，带进长久和平的城市，这的确是一种更令人发指的恐怖主义。

 

并不是因为死去的是英国人而不是伊拉克人使问题更严重，而是因为恐怖主义让世界没有安全的净土。人类不能生活在这样的压力中。

 

今天说了很多不像自己说的话。做个鬼脸吧